Thursday, August 28, 2008

Black Scholes Model-An insight into Financial Engineering

In 1973, Fischer Black and Myron Scholes published their groundbreaking paper the pricing of options and corporate liabilities.Not only did this specify the first successful options pricing formula, but it also described a general framework for pricing other derivative instruments. That paper launched the field of financial engineering. Black and Scholes had a very hard time getting that paper published. Eventually, it took the intersession of Eugene Fama and Merton Miller to get it accepted by the Journal of Political Economy. In the mean time, Black and Scholes had published in the Journal of Finance a more accessible (1972) paper that cited the as-yet unpublished (1973) option pricing formula in an empirical analysis of current options trading.The Black and Scholes Option Pricing Model didn't appear overnight, in fact, Fisher Black started out working to create a valuation model for stock warrants. This work involved calculating a derivative to measure how the discount rate of a warrant varies with time and stock price. The result of this calculation held a striking resemblance to a well-known heat transfer equation. Soon after this discovery, Myron Scholes joined Black and the result of their work is a startlingly accurate option pricing model. Black and Scholes can't take all credit for their work, in fact their model is actually an improved version of a previous model developed by A. James Boness in his Ph.D. dissertation at the University of Chicago. Black and Scholes' improvements on the Boness model come in the form of a proof that the risk-free interest rate is the correct discount factor, and with the absence of assumptions regarding investor's risk preferences.
The Model:




where c is the Call option value.




where p is the put option value.






Here, log denotes the natural logarithm, and:
s = the price of the underlying stock
x = the strike price
r = the continuously compounded risk free interest rate
t = the time in years until the expiration of the option
v = the implied volatility for the underlying stock
N = the standard normal cumulative distribution function.
e = Exponential term(2.71828)

In order to understand the model itself, we divide it into two parts. The first part, SN(d1), derives the expected benefit from acquiring a stock outright. This is found by multiplying stock price [S] by the change in the call premium with respect to a change in the underlying stock price [N(d1)]. The second part of the model, xe(-rt)N(d2), gives the present value of paying the exercise price on the expiration day. The fair market value of the call option is then calculated by taking the difference between these two parts.
Assumptions of the Black and Scholes Model:
1) The stock pays no dividends during the option's life

Most companies pay dividends to their share holders, so this might seem a serious limitation to the model considering the observation that higher dividend yields elicit lower call premiums. A common way of adjusting the model for this situation is to subtract the discounted value of a future dividend from the stock price.
2) European exercise terms are used
European exercise terms dictate that the option can only be exercised on the expiration date. American exercise term allow the option to be exercised at any time during the life of the option, making American options more valuable due to their greater flexibility. This limitation is not a major concern because very few calls are ever exercised before the last few days of their life. This is true because when you exercise a call early, you forfeit the remaining time value on the call and collect the intrinsic value. Towards the end of the life of a call, the remaining time value is very small, but the intrinsic value is the same.
3) Markets are efficient
This assumption suggests that people cannot consistently predict the direction of the market or an individual stock.
4) No commissions are charged
Usually market participants do have to pay a commission to buy or sell options. Even floor traders pay some kind of fee, but it is usually very small. The fees that Individual investor's pay is more substantial and can often distort the output of the model.
5) Interest rates remain constant and known
The Black and Scholes model uses the risk-free rate to represent this constant and known rate. In reality there is no such thing as the risk-free rate, but the discount rate on U.S. Government Treasury Bills with 30 days left until maturity is usually used to represent it. During periods of rapidly changing interest rates, these 30 day rates are often subject to change, thereby violating one of the assumptions of the model.
6) Returns are lognormally distributed
This assumption suggests, returns on the underlying stock are normally distributed, which is reasonable for most assets that offer options.
The Black and Scholes Model:
Delta:

Delta is a measure of the sensitivity the calculated option value has to small changes in the share price.
Delta for a call is

Delta for a Put is


Gamma:
Gamma is a measure of the calculated delta's sensitivity to small changes in share price.
Gamma for a Call and put is one and the same..



Theta:
Theta measures the calculated option value's sensitivity to small changes in time till maturity.

Theta for a call is


Theta for a put is
Vega:
Vega measures the calculated option value's sensitivity to small changes in volatility. Vega for a call and put is one and the same..



Rho:
Rho for a call is

Rho for a Put is